What if we overshoot 1.5°C? Implications for Adaptation

Global warming is accelerating, and current emission trajectories would bring us to a 2.8°C warmer world by 2100. Strengthening climate mitigation ambition is therefore essential. Yet, current warming levels indicate that an overshoot of the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C target, even if temporary, has become a risk that requires proactive planning now.

How can adaptation strategies effectively address the escalating risks associated with higher levels of warming? 

What strategic approaches are needed to cope with increasing extremes, heightened volatility, and adaptation limits, particularly with regard to vital resources such as agricultural production and water?

We invite you to join a discussion on what a 1.5°C overshoot would mean for adaptation – and why accelerating mitigation efforts is more urgent than ever. 

The event is co-hosted by TMG Research, the Robert Bosch Stiftung, the European Climate Foundation, and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.

Agenda:

17:15 – 17:40 Setting the scene, Climate Overshoot: Implications for Adaptation. The time is now! Climate change mitigation and adaptation for a resilient future. With Morgan Després (European Climate Foundation) and Carl Schleussner (International Institute for Applied System Analysis)

17:40 – 18:20 Adaptation in a world beyond 1.5° warming. FISHBOWL: Tabea Lissner (Robert Bosch Stiftung), in discussion with: Ulf Jäckel (German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Climate Action, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety), Christoph Gornott (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research), Participants

18:20 – 18:30 Enabling adaptation action at the local level. An interview with Naisula Lepariyo (Gender Expert) and Larry Ayo (SmartLab)

18:30 – 19:10 Preparing for a world unknown: International cooperation for adaptation. FISHBOWL: Alexander Müller (TMG Thinktank for Sustainability), in discussion with Gerald Mgesi David (Global Resilience Partnership), Laura Schäfer (Germanwatch), Frauke Rinelli (Ministry for Economic Development and Cooperation), Participants

19:10 – 19:15 Where are we at and what should be next?

Followed by a reception