Berlin Climate Mobility Forum 2026

The overlooked challenge of climate-induced migration: Why we must act now

Climate change is already profoundly shaping migration and displacement. Yet climate-induced migration continues to receive far too little attention. Jassin Irscheid from our Migration team explains why there is an urgent need for a coherent policy framework.

Text
Jassin Irscheid
Photo
Natalija Gormalova
Date
June 10, 2026
113million people across Africa could be displaced within their own countries by 2050 due to climate change.

Migration is often framed as a cross-border issue, but the vast majority of climate-related movements take place within national borders. By the end of 2025, weather-related disasters had triggered around 27.2 million internal displacements (source: Global Report on Internal Displacement 2026). Yet this figure only scratches the surface of a broader, slower-moving trend. Projections for 2050 suggest that up to 113 million people across the African continent could be displaced within their own countries (source: Global Centre for Climate Mobility/Africa Climate Mobility Initiative). In the Greater Caribbean, up to 8.2 million people are estimated to resettle permanently (source: Global Centre for Climate Mobility/Greater Caribbean Climate Mobility Initiative).

This crisis is not only about those who move, but also those who cannot. In the Caribbean alone, nearly 6 million people could become trapped in climate-vulnerable areas due to deepening poverty—unable to afford to leave.

For most people, however, leaving home is a last resort. Climate impacts act as a “treat multiplier”, influencing migration decisions alongside other drivers, such as the search for education and employment. This creates both social and economic challenges in destination regions—and new opportunities. Strengthening the resilience of affected societies is therefore essential. The sheer scale and complexity of climate-induced migration make it one of the defining challenges of our time, requiring forward-looking policies and effective international solidarity.

International policy continues to underestimate the issue

While international forums are increasingly acknowledging the need to address climate-induced migration, concrete action remains fragmented and significantly underfunded. Within the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), human mobility is largely absent from key climate targets like the Global Goal on Adaptation, and although the issue is frequently mentioned in National Adaptation Plans, coherent implementation is rare.

Major climate funds such as the Green Climate Fund (GCF) tend to treat migration as a secondary issue, often as a co-benefit of adaptation and resilience projects. The new Fund for Responding to Loss and Damage (FRLD) is the first to explicitly include climate mobility – yet its initial pledges cover only a fraction of what would be required to address the challenge at scale. Similarly, multilateral development banks rarely link their climate and migration portfolios (source: Migration Policy Institute), resulting in a patchwork of ad hoc responses.

Overall, international climate finance remains insufficient where it is most urgently needed: at the local level. In the IGAD region – a regional economic community of East African countries 81 percent of funding for climate adaptation measures is implemented by national governments and multilateral organizations, leaving only a minimal share for local actors. Yet locally led projects can deliver far more context-sensitive and effective adaptation measures, as demonstrated by a study from the IIED Climate Change Group. Although efforts have been made to improve access to funding at the local level, progress so far has been limited.

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New approaches to closing the gap

To address this gap, new financing models are emerging. The Global Cities Fund, launched by our partner organization the Mayors Migration Council, enables cities to access resources directly. In Beira, Mozambique, for example, it supported the voluntary and dignified relocation of families living in high-risk areas by enabling the city to provide housing and infrastructure.

Initiatives such as the Communities Climate Adaptation Facility (C-CAF), led by our partner the Global Centre for Climate Mobility, aim to improve climate finance so that it aligns with local needs and reaches communities quickly. In Fiji, the communities of Macuata-i-Wai, Narata and Vuniniudrovu are each receiving funding for urgent adaptation measures—from raising homes and restoring mangroves to relocating households threatened by flooding and coastal erosion.

Towards a comprehensive response to climate mobility

With the Berlin Climate Mobility Forum (BCMF), we at the Robert Bosch Stiftung – together with the Global Centre for Climate Mobility – aim to consolidate existing progress on climate-induced migration into a unified international agenda and drive more decisive political action. This year’s forum brings together 14 heads of state and government, more than 60 ministers, and other leaders from around 80 countries, alongside representatives from international organizations and local communities.

The goal is to adopt the “Global Principles for Addressing Climate Mobility” and to set key impulses for shaping the “Climate Mobility Adaptation Agenda”.

Addressing climate mobility requires a shift from reactive crisis management to proactive international cooperation. The BCMF seeks to drive this transition by laying the groundwork for a coordinated global response – one that enables communities to adapt, remain where possible, and move safely and with dignity when necessary.

Germany's role

Through its engagement to date – whether within the Platform on Disaster Displacement or in partnership with small island states at the United Nations – Germany has built valuable political capital and makes significant contributions to major international funds. This experience and established position could be proactively leveraged to make financial support mechanisms more systematic and accessible to local actors.

In a changing global order, this engagement can strengthen international partnerships and make a meaningful contribution to long-term regional stability.

About the author: 
Jassin Irscheid is a Project Manager in our Migration team, where he works on the intersections of climate change and digital technologies in the context of displacement and migration.

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